With today’s high inflation and rising interest rates, some retirement plans may be at risk due to assets depleting prematurely due to these factors. Today’s economic conditions are much worse than coming out of the Great Depression when the U.S. experienced inflation, high-interest rates, historical debt, and tax levels when tax rates were above 40% for over 40 years (1940-1981). Here’s an explanation of two significant risks to your retirement plan: inflation risk and interest rate risk.
Interest rates are rising as Fed officials dred raised rates by a quarter-point in March 2022 to a target range of 0.25% to 0.5%. Their median forecast signaled that they expect to lift rates to 1.9% by the end of 2022 and to 2.8% by 2023.
COVID-19, inflation and the Ukrainian war have all contributed to a volatile stock market in recent weeks. Volatility will continue as usual while one sector is experiencing profitability, another is declining, resulting in declining stock market valuations. For investors, the up and down performance creates market risk but is part of the underlying economic fundamentals of our U.S. stock market system: